What is the difference between expected and realized MCA returns?

Expected return on an MCA deal is the profit promised by its factor rate — for example, a $10,000 advance at 1.35 is expected to return $3,500. Realized return is what was actually collected once the deal closed, after fees, reduced payments and defaults. Comparing the two by funding month shows how well a wallet's deals really performed.

What causes the gap

  • Defaults and write-offs, which recover only part of the RTR.
  • Settlements at a discount to the full amount owed.
  • Funder management fees taken from collections.
  • Deals still open, which have not realized anything yet.

Factor efficiency

Factor efficiency is gross RTR collected divided by expected (contracted) RTR across all deals. 100% means every promised dollar was collected; 80% means a fifth of the expected payback has not come in, whether from defaults, discounts or deals still paying.

Compare by funding month

Grouping deals by the month they were funded — and keeping each month's original expectations fixed — shows whether performance is improving or slipping over time, instead of blending old and new deals together.

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More terms in the MCA glossary or run a deal through the MCA calculator.